2012 New Hampshire State Polls

In the selection of recent public opinion polls below showing presidential preferences in the state of New Hampshire, we have highlighted findings on gender.*

Recent attention to the gender gap in presidential vote choice frequently reflects confusion between what is traditionally known as the gender gap in voting between men and women voters and a commonly reported difference in support for each major party candidate among women voters. The data below includes both measures.

The Gender Gap: The difference between the percentages of women and men who support a given candidate, generally the leading or winning candidate. Even if women and men favor the same candidate, they may do so by different margins, resulting in a gender gap. We calculate the gender gap for each poll based on the votes of women and men who support the candidate leading in that poll.
   Example: [%Women for Leading Candidate][%Men for Leading Candidate] = Gender Gap

The Women's Vote: The percentage point advantage that one candidate has over the other among women voters – that is, the difference in support for the major party candidates among women voters only.
   Example: [%Women for Obama][%Women for Romney] = Women's Vote

* Polls are based on samples of either registered or likely voters. Follow the link to each poll for additional details on methodology.

Final New Hampshire Exit Poll, 2008

Obama: 54%
McCain: 45%
Gender Gap: 12 pts.
Women's Vote: +23% Obama

Pre-Election Polls

Poll Date in Field Overall Vote Gender Gap

Women's Vote

Women
for
Romney

Men
for
Romney

Women
for
Obama

Men
for
Obama

Public Policy Polling (PDF) 11/3-11/4 Obama  50%
Romney 48%
12 pts. +9% Obama 45% 53% 54% 46%
WMUR Granite State Poll (PDF) 11/1-11/4 Obama  50%
Romney 45%
16 pts. +18% Obama 40% 53% 58% 42%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist 10/28-10/29 Obama  49%
Romney 47%
14 pts. +16% Obama 40% 53% 56% 42%
Public Policy Polling (PDF) 10/26-10/28 Obama  49%
Romney 47%
18 pts. +18% Obama 39% 56% 57% 39%
Public Policy Polling (PDF) 10/26-10/28 Obama  49%
Romney 47%
18 pts. +18% Obama 39% 56% 57% 39%
ARG 10/19-10/22 Obama  47%
Romney 49%
8 pts. +6% Obama 45% 53% 51% 44%
WMUR Granite State Poll (PDF) 10/17-10/21 Obama  49%
Romney 41%
15 pts. +23% Obama 34% 49% 57% 42%
Public Policy Polling (PDF) 10/17-10/19 Obama  48%
Romney 49%
6 pts. +5% Obama 46% 52% 51% 44%
Suffolk University/7News (PDF) 10/12-10/14 Obama  47%
Romney 47%
3-7 pts. +4% Obama 46% 49% 50% 43%
ARG 10/9-10/11 Obama  46%
Romney 50%
5 pts. +1% Obama 48% 53% 49% 52%
WMUR Granite State Poll (PDF) 9/30-10/6 Obama  47%
Romney 41%
5 pts. +9% Obama 41% 42% 50% 45%
WMUR Granite State Poll (PDF) 9/27-9/30 Obama  52%
Romney 37%
12 pts. +17% Obama 31% 43% 58% 46%
ARG 9/25-9/27 Obama  50%
Romney 45%
10 pts. +17% Obama 38% 52% 55% 45%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll (PDF) 9/23-9/25 Obama  51%
Romney 44%
12 pts. +20% Obama 37% 50% 57% 45%
ARG 9/15-9/17 Obama  48%
Romney 46%
9 pts. +10% Obama 42% 51% 52% 43%
WMUR Granite State Poll (PDF) 9/4-9/10 Obama  45%
Romney 40%
8 pts. +14% Obama 35% 46% 49% 41%