2020 Presidential Gender Gap Poll Tracker

 

 

The Center for American Women and Politics (CAWP) is tracking gender differences in support for the major-party candidates in the 2020 presidential election at the national level and in battleground states. We are tracking both the gender gap in likely vote choice between men and women voters for the leading candidate and the reported difference in support for each major party candidate among women voters. For historical context, see CAWP's research and data on gender differences in voter turnout and the gender gap in vote choice, partisan identification, and policy attitudes

Gender Gap in National Polls Gender Gap in Battleground States National Polls by Gender and Race National Polls by Gender and Education

The Gender Gap: The difference between the percentages of women and men who support a given candidate, generally the leading or winning candidate. Even if women and men favor the same candidate, they may do so by different margins, resulting in a gender gap. We calculate the gender gap for each poll based on the votes of women and men who support the candidate leading in that poll.

Example: [%Women for Leading Candidate] – [%Men for Leading Candidate] = Gender Gap

The Women's Vote: The percentage point advantage that one candidate has over the other among women voters – that is, the difference in support for the major party candidates among women voters only.

Example: [%Women for Biden] – [%Women for Trump] = Women's Vote

For more information on and analysis of the 2020 election, see our Election Watch page.

Rules for Inclusion in the 2020 Presidential Gender Gap Poll Tracker
  1. All polling organizations must receive a B/C grade or higher from FiveThirtyEight’s Pollster Ratings that is based on the historical accuracy and methodology of each firm's poll. We use the grade of the polling organization or firm that conducted the poll and not the grade of the media sponsor.
  2. We only include polling results from samples of registered voters.
  3. Polls that utilize robo-calling are excluded and all of the polls we include were conducted via web-based interviews or with a mix of landline and cell phone interviews with no more than 40% of responses coming from landline calls.
  4. We use the Real Clear Politics designation of which states are considered "battleground states."
  5. We do not include any subgroup data points in which the error for the subgroup exceeded +/-7 percentage points or in which the sample size was less than 100 unweighted completed interviews.
  6. All included polls have a sample size of at least 600 respondents.

Gender Gap in National Polls

*Note that the margin of error refers to the sampling error for the full sample of registered voters. Results among subgroups (i.e. women, men) typically have larger sampling errors. See each individual poll for more information on subgroup error calculations and other details regarding methodology.

 

Gender Gap in Battleground State Polls

*Note that the margin of error refers to the sampling error for the full sample of registered voters. Results among subgroups (i.e. women, men) typically have larger sampling errors. See each individual poll for more information on subgroup error calculations and other details regarding methodology.

 

National Polls by Gender and Race

*Note that the margin of error refers to the sampling error for the full sample of registered voters. Results among subgroups (i.e. women, men) typically have larger sampling errors. See each individual poll for more information on subgroup error calculations and other details regarding methodology.

 

National Polls by Gender and Education

*Note that the margin of error refers to the sampling error for the full sample of registered voters. Results among subgroups (i.e. women, men) typically have larger sampling errors. See each individual poll for more information on subgroup error calculations and other details regarding methodology.