In the selection of recent public opinion polls below showing presidential preferences in the state of Nevada, we have highlighted findings on gender.*
Recent attention to the gender gap in presidential vote choice frequently reflects confusion between what is traditionally known as the gender gap in voting between men and women voters and a commonly reported difference in support for each major party candidate among women voters. The data below includes both measures.
The Gender Gap: The difference between the percentages of women and men who support a given candidate, generally the leading or winning candidate. Even if women and men favor the same candidate, they may do so by different margins, resulting in a gender gap. We calculate the gender gap for each poll based on the votes of women and men who support the candidate leading in that poll.
Example: [%Women for Leading Candidate] – [%Men for Leading Candidate] = Gender Gap
The Women's Vote: The percentage point advantage that one candidate has over the other among women voters – that is, the difference in support for the major party candidates among women voters only.
Example: [%Women for Obama] – [%Women for Romney] = Women's Vote
* Polls are based on samples of either registered or likely voters. Follow the link to each poll for additional details on methodology.
Final Nevada Exit Poll, 2008
Obama: 55%
McCain: 43%
Gender Gap: 8 pts.
Women's Vote: +21% Obama
Pre-Election Polls
Poll | Date in Field | Overall Vote | Gender Gap |
Women's Vote |
Women |
Men |
Women |
Men |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVRJ/SurveyUSA | 10/23-10/29 | Obama 50% Romney 46% |
7 pts. | +11% Obama | 42% | 49% | 53% | 46% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll | 10/23-10-24 | Obama 50% Romney 47% |
4 pts. | +6% Obama | 46% | 47% | 52% | 48% |
Public Policy Polling (PDF) | 10/22-10/24 | Obama 51% Romney 47% |
6 pts. | +10% Obama | 44% | 50% | 54% | 48% |
ARG | 10/19-10/22 | Obama 49% Romney 47% |
3 pts. | +6% Obama | 45% | 49% | 51% | 48% |
LVRJ/SurveyUSA | 10/11-10/15 | Obama 48% Romney 45% |
8 pts. | +10% Obama | 42% | 49% | 52% | 44% |
Suffolk/KSNV | 10/6-10/9 | Obama 47% Romney 45% |
11 pts. | +11% Obama | 41% | 50% | 52% | 41% |
LVRJ/SurveyUSA | 10/3-10/8 | Obama 47% Romney 46% |
9 pts. | +9% Obama | 43% | 48% | 52% | 43% |
Gravis Marketing (PDF) | 10/3-10/3 | Obama 49% Romney 48% |
4 pts. | +6% Obama | 45% | 50% | 51% | 47% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll (PDF) | 9/23-9/25 | Obama 49% Romney 47% |
15 pts. | +16% Obama | 41% | 53% | 57% | 42% |
ARG | 9/20-9/23 | Obama 51% Romney 44% |
3 pts. | +9% Obama | 43% | 46% | 52% | 49% |
Public Policy Polling (PDF) | 9/18-9/20 | Obama 52% Romney 43% |
7 pts. | +14% Obama | 41% | 46% | 55% | 48% |
CNN/Opinion Research (PDF) | 9/14-9/18 | Obama 49% Romney 46% |
12 pts. | +14% Obama | 41% | 52% | 55% | 43% |